When will artist release a new album?·closes in 3mo

Will Drake release new album after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027

YES means Before Jan 1, 2027

24h volume: 0; 4,430 lifetime
Open interest: 1,268
Spread: 51¢; 5 × 5 at the touch
24h range: –

Chance of YES

50%

A YES contract costs 80¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

50%

costs 71¢

YES bid / ask

29¢ / 80¢

NO bid / ask

20¢ / 71¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask4994¢
ask24890¢
ask9885¢
ask5684¢
ask1583¢
ask581¢
ask580¢

spread51¢mid 55¢

bid529¢
bid527¢
bid1.5725¢
bid7312¢
bid17511¢
bid25010¢
bid505¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

Spotify

opened: Aug 21 · 11:52 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDRA-27JAN01

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.