When will artist release a new album?·closes in 1mo

Will Kendrick Lamar release a new album before Nov 1, 2026?

YES means Before November

24h volume
0
1,067 lifetime
Open interest
519
Spread
5 × 100 at the touch
24h range
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 81¢
Recent buying34% YES · 66% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kendrick Lamar releases a new album before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 21 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 1 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWKEN-26NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 12 trades, 34% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago12¢6.72bought no
2d ago13bought no
3d ago20¢31bought no
5d ago24¢150bought no
6d ago24¢100bought no
10d ago31¢31bought yes
17d ago27¢160bought no
17d ago27¢100bought no
24d ago27¢6.72bought no
1mo ago35¢2.73bought yes
1mo ago33¢5bought yes
1mo ago33¢250bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.