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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 3mo

Will MrBeast formally known as James Stephen Donaldson release new album after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027

YES means Before Jan 1, 2027

24h volume
0
2,094 lifetime
Open interest
1,307
+1,307 over 30d
Spread
5¢
5 × 211 at the touch
24h range
–
35 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 16¢
NO bid / ask
84¢ / 89¢
Recent buying10% YES · 90% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 1Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask27287¢
  • ask26186¢
  • ask22666¢
  • ask31661¢
  • ask19954¢
  • ask453¢
  • ask15852¢
  • ask21116¢
spread5¢mid 14¢
  • bid511¢
  • bid10010¢
  • bid1613¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If MrBeast formally known as James Stephen Donaldson releases a new album after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 30 · 10:59 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWMRB-27JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will MrBeast release an album this year?.

Recent trades

Over the last 35 trades, 10% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago11¢1.11bought no
8d ago13¢5bought no
8d ago12¢13bought no
13d ago17¢100bought no
13d ago20¢2bought yes
13d ago21¢100bought yes
13d ago21¢100bought yes
15d ago19¢100bought no
15d ago22¢100bought no
15d ago25¢100bought no
15d ago26¢5bought yes
15d ago26¢2bought yes
15d ago25¢7bought no
15d ago25¢7bought no
16d ago25¢16bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.