When will artist release a new album?·closes in 2mo

Will Tate McRae release a new album before Dec 1, 2026?

YES means Before Dec 1, 2026

24h volume: 0; 148 lifetime
Open interest: 138
Spread: 60¢; 5 × 35 at the touch
24h range: –; 5 recent trades

Chance of YES

27%

A YES contract costs 66¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

73%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask

6¢ / 66¢

NO bid / ask

34¢ / 94¢

Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask14098¢
ask11196¢
ask3566¢

spread60¢mid 36¢

bid56¢
bid1145¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tate McRae releases a new album before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

Spotify

opened: Aug 5 · 12:01 AM UTC
closes: Dec 1 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAT-26DEC01

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
26d ago	27¢	35	bought yes
1mo ago	23¢	62	bought yes
2mo ago	23¢	41	bought yes
2mo ago	23¢	0.01	bought yes
2mo ago	22¢	10	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.