When will artist release a new album?·closes in 10mo

Will Tate McRae release a new album before Aug 1, 2027?

YES means Before Aug 1, 2027

24h volume
0
550 lifetime
Open interest
177
+177 over 90d
Spread
45¢
5 × 25 at the touch
24h range
85¢ – 95¢
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
85%

A YES contract costs 84¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
15%

costs 61¢

YES bid / ask
39¢ / 84¢
NO bid / ask
16¢ / 61¢
24h low 85¢24h high 95¢
Recent buying39% YES · 61% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

50¢75¢volAug 6Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tate McRae releases a new album before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 12:01 AM UTC
closes
Aug 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAT-27AUG01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 39% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago85¢20bought yes
2mo ago87¢6bought yes
2mo ago87¢1bought yes
2mo ago95¢0.01bought no
2mo ago95¢150bought no
2mo ago95¢10bought no
2mo ago95¢15bought no
2mo ago95¢152bought no
2mo ago95¢0.01bought no
2mo ago95¢10bought no
2mo ago94¢150bought yes
2mo ago92¢20bought yes
2mo ago92¢17bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.