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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 4mo

Will Tate McRae release a new album before Feb 1, 2027?

YES means Before Feb 1, 2027

24h volume
0
1,111 lifetime
Open interest
694
Spread
71¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
45%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
55%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask
26¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 74¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask14098¢
  • ask597¢
spread71¢mid 62¢
  • bid526¢
  • bid524¢
  • bid2522¢
  • bid12819¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tate McRae releases a new album before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 12:01 AM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAT-27FEB01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12d ago45¢100bought yes
21d ago45¢6.41bought yes
1mo ago37¢20bought no
1mo ago40¢20bought no
1mo ago40¢117bought no
1mo ago41¢13bought yes
1mo ago41¢96bought yes
1mo ago40¢20bought yes
1mo ago40¢109bought yes
1mo ago40¢10bought yes
1mo ago40¢10bought yes
2mo ago40¢5bought yes
2mo ago40¢200bought yes
2mo ago40¢200bought yes
2mo ago40¢183bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.