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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 13mo

Will Tate McRae release a new album before Oct 1, 2027?

YES means Before Oct 1, 2027

24h volume
0
1,187 lifetime
Open interest
35
+0 over 24h
Spread
38¢
5 × 25 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
94%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
6%

costs 39¢

YES bid / ask
61¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 39¢
Recent buying42% YES · 58% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 21, 12:13 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2599¢
spread38¢mid 80¢
  • bid561¢
  • bid1060¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tate McRae releases a new album before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 12:01 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWTAT-27OCT01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago94¢25bought yes
2mo ago89¢8.18bought no
2mo ago96¢11bought no
2mo ago96¢15bought no
2mo ago96¢0.01bought no
2mo ago96¢120bought no
2mo ago96¢80bought no
2mo ago96¢0.01bought no
2mo ago96¢34bought no
2mo ago96¢200bought no
2mo ago96¢9.99bought no
2mo ago96¢200bought no
2mo ago96¢15bought no
2mo ago95¢139bought yes
2mo ago95¢120bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.