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ANTHROPIC Sector in S&P·closes in 16mo

Will Anthropic be assigned to Information Technology?

YES means Information Technology

24h volume
0
7,738 lifetime
Open interest
1,548
Spread
3¢
0.23 × 2 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 9¢

YES bid / ask
91¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 9¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2.3299¢
  • ask50097¢
  • ask595¢
  • ask294¢
spread3¢mid 93¢
  • bid0.2391¢
  • bid10990¢
  • bid50089¢
  • bid288¢
  • bid385¢
  • bid383¢
  • bid45681¢
  • bid1179¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Anthropic is assigned to the Information Technology sector, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Anthropic is assigned to more than one sector by the GICS, then "Yes" holders for any attributed sector will receive $1/number of sectors and "No" holders for those sectors will receive $1 minus "Yes" payout.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 3 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 11, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 11, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXANTHROPICSECTOR-XX-INFORMATI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 124¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago99¢0.1bought yes
2d ago96¢5bought yes
2d ago96¢9bought yes
2d ago97¢3bought yes
2d ago91¢1bought yes
2d ago97¢1.11bought yes
3d ago95¢5bought yes
3d ago96¢0.23bought yes
6d ago95¢2.09bought yes
6d ago95¢1.04bought yes
6d ago89¢8.55bought no
6d ago89¢8.55bought no
8d ago84¢12bought no
8d ago83¢5bought no
8d ago82¢500bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.