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ANTHROPIC Sector in S&P·closes in 16mo

Will Anthropic be assigned to Unassigned?

YES means Unassigned

24h volume
0
3,220 lifetime
Open interest
1,467
+0 over 24h
Spread
8¢
0 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 100¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 20, 8:59 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,22298¢
  • ask88883¢
  • ask12863¢
  • ask10062¢
  • ask15961¢
  • ask79257¢
  • ask5008¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Anthropic is assigned to the Unassigned sector, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If Anthropic is assigned to more than one sector by the GICS, then "Yes" holders for any attributed sector will receive $1/number of sectors and "No" holders for those sectors will receive $1 minus "Yes" payout.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jun 3 · 5:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 11, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 11, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXANTHROPICSECTOR-XX-UNASSIGNE
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 124¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 12 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    17d ago4¢6.75bought no
    27d ago7¢1.1bought yes
    29d ago8¢12bought yes
    1mo ago12¢4bought yes
    2mo ago8¢7.25bought no
    2mo ago13¢2.25bought yes
    2mo ago13¢5bought yes
    2mo ago14¢25bought yes
    2mo ago12¢5bought yes
    2mo ago11¢5bought yes
    2mo ago6¢3bought no
    2mo ago7¢10bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.