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Will Djokovic Retire?·closes in 3mo

Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement before 2027?

YES means Before 2027

24h volume
0
11.9k lifetime
Open interest
5,658
−60 over 7d
Spread
13¢
2 × 30 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 16¢
NO bid / ask
84¢ / 97¢
Recent buying18% YES · 82% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask566¢
  • ask2,60965¢
  • ask4864¢
  • ask9032¢
  • ask12019¢
  • ask2718¢
  • ask10017¢
  • ask3016¢
spread13¢mid 10¢
  • bid23¢
  • bid5002¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Novak Djokovic announces his retirement from the ATP before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to 2027. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 16 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXATPRETIRE-27DJO-Y
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Novak Djokovic retire before 2027?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 18% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago18¢13bought yes
2d ago14¢3.05bought yes
2d ago15¢29bought yes
2d ago13¢100bought yes
2d ago17¢13bought yes
2d ago14¢100bought no
3d ago18¢2bought yes
3d ago19¢100bought no
4d ago19¢100bought yes
4d ago16¢49bought no
4d ago20¢43bought no
6d ago20¢6.16bought no
6d ago21¢67bought yes
6d ago21¢320bought no
6d ago21¢1.15bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.