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Will Djokovic Retire?·closes in 17mo

Will Novak Djokovic announce their retirement before the 2027 ATP season?

YES means Before the 2027 season

24h volume
0
4,458 lifetime
Open interest
3,044
+38 over 7d
Spread
32¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
25¢ – 25¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 92¢
24h low 25¢24h high 25¢
Recent buying85% YES · 15% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Novak Djokovic announces their retirement from ATP before the 2027 ATP season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: the retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 22 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXATPRETIRE-28DJO-2027
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 85% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago25¢38bought yes
7d ago21¢2bought yes
7d ago20¢35bought no
8d ago21¢35bought yes
8d ago21¢32bought yes
8d ago20¢55bought yes
8d ago19¢42bought yes
8d ago20¢14bought yes
8d ago19¢58bought yes
8d ago18¢55bought yes
9d ago17¢57bought yes
9d ago16¢59bought yes
9d ago15¢60bought yes
9d ago14¢33bought yes
9d ago14¢83bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.