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Will Djokovic Retire?·closes in 17mo

Will Novak Djokovic announce their retirement before the 2028 ATP season?

YES means Before the 2028 season

24h volume
0
2,530 lifetime
Open interest
651
Spread
61¢
5 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
98%

A YES contract costs 64¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
2%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 64¢
NO bid / ask
36¢ / 97¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask9498¢
  • ask79697¢
  • ask3.7296¢
  • ask9079¢
  • ask10064¢
spread61¢mid 34¢
  • bid53¢
  • bid52¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Novak Djokovic announces their retirement from ATP before the 2028 ATP season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: the retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 22 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXATPRETIRE-28DJO-2028
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.