Will Andrew Hastie become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?
YES means Andrew Hastie
- 24h volume
- 0
- 6 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2
- +0 over 30d
- Spread
- 6¢
- 2 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 3 recent trades
A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 98¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask6499¢
- ask4598¢
- ask43068¢
- ask20067¢
- ask6066¢
- ask229¢
- ask2009¢
- ask58¢
- bid22¢
- bid471¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Andrew Hastie becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Sep 23, 2029, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- opened
- Jul 9 · 8:31 PM UTC
- closes
- Sep 23, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Sep 23, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-AHAS
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 53¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 3 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo ago | 7¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 1¢ | 3 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.