Summer Olympics USA Men's Basketball Team·closes in 23mo

Will Kon Knueppel be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?

YES means Kon Knueppel

24h volume
0
2,476 lifetime
Open interest
1,700
−3.81 over 7d
Spread
59¢
0 × 5 at the touch
24h range
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
51%

A YES contract costs 59¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
49%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 59¢
NO bid / ask
41¢ / 100¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢volSep 14Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask51093¢
  • ask2592¢
  • ask1290¢
  • ask559¢
spreadmid
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Kon Knueppel is selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics, then the market resolves to Yes.

    This market resolves based on whether Kon Knueppel is selected to the team. If they are selected but do not end up competing in the event, then the market still resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    opened
    May 29 · 12:00 AM UTC
    closes
    Jul 31, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jul 31, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28-KKNUEPPEL7
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 15 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2d ago52¢5bought no
    2d ago51¢3.81bought no
    21d ago53¢207bought no
    22d ago52¢5bought no
    22d ago51¢40bought no
    2mo ago56¢158bought yes
    2mo ago56¢83bought yes
    2mo ago55¢1.19bought yes
    2mo ago55¢8.81bought yes
    2mo ago46¢10bought no
    2mo ago47¢5bought no
    2mo ago46¢1bought no
    2mo ago47¢68bought no
    2mo ago48¢5bought no
    2mo ago54¢179bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.