BNB Min Year·closes in 2mo

Will BNB trimmed mean be below $550.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Below $550.00

24h volume
5
288 lifetime
Open interest
27
Spread
8¢
403 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
34 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%+4

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 91¢
Recent buying54% YES · 46% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $550.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BNBUSD_RTI price for BNB. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:43 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
cap
550
ticker
KXBNBMINY-BNB-26DEC31-55000
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 34 trades, 54% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago18¢5bought yes
1d ago14¢5bought no
1d ago14¢15bought no
5d ago25¢6.76bought yes
5d ago25¢4.64bought yes
6d ago28¢14bought yes
6d ago26¢1bought yes
6d ago14¢5bought yes
10d ago9¢5bought no
10d ago9¢0.66bought no
10d ago17¢3.66bought yes
10d ago16¢2bought yes
11d ago10¢4.73bought no
12d ago20¢4.73bought yes
15d ago19¢0.49bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.