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Next Bond actor·closes in 40mo

Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

YES means Callum Turner

24h volume
5,127
542.2k lifetime
Open interest
281.6k
Spread
3¢
23 × 1 at the touch
24h range
29¢ – 44¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
34%−5

A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
66%

costs 65¢

YES bid / ask
35¢ / 38¢
NO bid / ask
62¢ / 65¢
24h low 29¢24h high 44¢
Recent buying73% YES · 27% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50045¢
  • ask34044¢
  • ask21543¢
  • ask43042¢
  • ask29841¢
  • ask1340¢
  • ask2539¢
  • ask138¢
spread3¢mid 37¢
  • bid2335¢
  • bid14934¢
  • bid3933¢
  • bid6631¢
  • bid19430¢
  • bid26929¢
  • bid25828¢
  • bid1027¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Callum Turner is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 2, 2025 · 10:50 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBOND-30-CAL
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 73% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
43m ago34¢1bought no
43m ago34¢0.82bought no
1h ago38¢10bought yes
1h ago38¢1.4bought yes
1h ago39¢481bought yes
2h ago32¢4.68bought no
2h ago37¢77bought yes
2h ago37¢23bought yes
2h ago38¢100bought yes
2h ago33¢14bought yes
2h ago37¢3.64bought yes
2h ago38¢3.64bought yes
2h ago37¢7.55bought yes
2h ago36¢8bought yes
2h ago35¢37bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.