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Next Bond actor·closes in 40mo

Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?

YES means Jacob Elordi

24h volume
50
285.7k lifetime
Open interest
109.6k
Spread
1¢
238 × 684 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 4¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%−1

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
24h low 3¢24h high 4¢
Recent buying91% YES · 9% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4712¢
  • ask99311¢
  • ask3.4410¢
  • ask1,6009¢
  • ask188¢
  • ask7856¢
  • ask1,7295¢
  • ask6844¢
spread1¢mid 4¢
  • bid2383¢
  • bid2,1502¢
  • bid4,7801¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jacob Elordi is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 27, 2025 · 7:22 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBOND-30-JACO
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 91% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago3¢3bought no
9h ago4¢47bought yes
1d ago4¢26bought yes
1d ago4¢274bought yes
1d ago4¢13bought yes
1d ago4¢15bought yes
1d ago4¢375bought yes
1d ago4¢55bought yes
1d ago4¢24bought yes
2d ago3¢286bought no
3d ago4¢104bought yes
4d ago4¢1,000bought yes
4d ago3¢4bought no
4d ago4¢176bought yes
4d ago4¢7.87bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.