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BRUV seated in parliament·closes in 99mo

Will Britain Restoring Underlying Values ("BRUV") win a seat in the next U.K. general election?

YES means Before 2035

24h volume
0
25.6k lifetime
Open interest
22.6k
+0 over 7d
Spread
3¢
825 × 2,072 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 99¢
Recent buying4% YES · 96% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volOct 29Nov 2

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask165¢
  • ask54250¢
  • ask1,27441¢
  • ask2721¢
  • ask1015¢
  • ask197¢
  • ask916¢
  • ask2,0724¢
spread3¢mid 3¢
  • bid8251¢
  • bid5501¢
  • bid5,0001¢
  • bid5,0000¢
  • bid9250¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Britain Restoring Underlying Values ("BRUV") wins a seat in the House of Commons in the next U.K. general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 9, 2025 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBRUVSEAT-35
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 4% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago4¢1bought yes
9d ago1¢78bought no
9d ago4¢1bought yes
9d ago4¢1bought yes
10d ago1¢5bought no
23d ago1¢67bought no
27d ago2¢50bought yes
27d ago1¢575bought no
1mo ago1¢16bought no
1mo ago1¢24bought no
1mo ago4¢5bought yes
1mo ago1¢222bought no
2mo ago1¢1.71bought no
2mo ago1¢187bought no
2mo ago1¢7.18bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.