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BRUV seated in parliament·closes in 101mo

Will Britain Restoring Underlying Values ("BRUV") win a seat in the next U.K. general election?

YES means Before 2035

24h volume
189
24.6k lifetime
Open interest
22.5k
−62 over 90d
Spread
5¢
38 × 24 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying29% YES · 71% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volJun 24Sep 16

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,35445¢
  • ask2721¢
  • ask1015¢
  • ask437¢
  • ask756¢
  • ask2,0006¢
  • ask916¢
  • ask246¢
spread5¢mid 3¢
  • bid381¢
  • bid1,8131¢
  • bid5501¢
  • bid5,0001¢
  • bid5,0000¢
  • bid9250¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Britain Restoring Underlying Values ("BRUV") wins a seat in the House of Commons in the next U.K. general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 9, 2025 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBRUVSEAT-35
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 29% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10h ago1¢1.71bought no
10h ago1¢187bought no
15d ago1¢7.18bought no
18d ago0¢15bought no
22d ago0¢100bought no
24d ago6¢8.89bought yes
27d ago1¢15bought no
27d ago0¢16bought no
30d ago6¢8.08bought yes
1mo ago6¢1.61bought yes
1mo ago6¢4.85bought yes
1mo ago6¢0.79bought yes
1mo ago0¢75bought no
2mo ago1¢5bought no
2mo ago3¢146bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.