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KXBTCABOVEBY·closes in 26d

Will Bitcoin exceed $80,000 by Nov 30, 2026?

YES means Above $80,000

24h volume
84
105 lifetime
Open interest
36
Spread
81¢
9.57 × 27 at the touch
24h range
10¢ – 99¢
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%−60

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 82¢
24h low 10¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2799¢
spread81¢mid 59¢
  • bid9.5718¢
  • bid122¢
  • bid51¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a qualifying one-minute average of the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) is above $80,000 after issuance at Nov 2, 2026 at 12:30 PM EST and before Nov 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.

The source is CF Benchmarks. Each minute after issuance and before the deadline is evaluated separately: discard the highest 20% and lowest 20% of BRTI observations in that minute and average the remaining 60%. The qualifying average must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. An earlier qualifying minute counts even if Bitcoin subsequently falls below the threshold. Last trading is the earlier of the first 10:00 AM ET following a qualifying occurrence or the stated deadline. Expiration follows BTCMINMAX, including its data-availability contingencies. If no data is available on the Expiration Date at the Expiration Time, the market resolves to No. Revisions after expiration are disregarded.

opened
Nov 2 · 5:30 PM UTC
closes
Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
80000
ticker
KXBTCABOVEBY-30NOV262359-8000000-YES
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 12 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago18¢6.02bought no
4h ago18¢19bought no
4h ago99¢19bought yes
10h ago88¢2.2bought yes
10h ago91¢1bought yes
17h ago10¢2.2bought no
17h ago78¢1.2bought yes
18h ago78¢1bought yes
21h ago78¢32bought yes
1d ago78¢1bought yes
1d ago75¢10bought yes
1d ago5¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.