Will Bitcoin exceed $80,000 by Nov 30, 2026?
YES means Above $80,000
- 24h volume
- 84
- 105 lifetime
- Open interest
- 36
- +36 over 7d
- Spread
- 81¢
- 9.57 × 27 at the touch
- 24h range
- 10¢ – 99¢
- 12 recent trades
A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 82¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask2799¢
- bid9.5718¢
- bid51¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If a qualifying one-minute average of the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) is above $80,000 after issuance at Nov 2, 2026 at 12:30 PM EST and before Nov 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
The source is CF Benchmarks. Each minute after issuance and before the deadline is evaluated separately: discard the highest 20% and lowest 20% of BRTI observations in that minute and average the remaining 60%. The qualifying average must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. An earlier qualifying minute counts even if Bitcoin subsequently falls below the threshold. Last trading is the earlier of the first 10:00 AM ET following a qualifying occurrence or the stated deadline. Expiration follows BTCMINMAX, including its data-availability contingencies. If no data is available on the Expiration Date at the Expiration Time, the market resolves to No. Revisions after expiration are disregarded.
- opened
- Nov 2 · 5:30 PM UTC
- closes
- Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC
- floor
- 80000
- ticker
- KXBTCABOVEBY-30NOV262359-8000000-YES
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will Bitcoin exceed $80,000 by Nov 30, 2026?.
Recent trades
Over the last 12 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 18¢ | 6.02 | bought no |
| 5h ago | 18¢ | 19 | bought no |
| 5h ago | 99¢ | 19 | bought yes |
| 11h ago | 88¢ | 2.2 | bought yes |
| 11h ago | 91¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 18h ago | 10¢ | 2.2 | bought no |
| 18h ago | 78¢ | 1.2 | bought yes |
| 18h ago | 78¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 22h ago | 78¢ | 32 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 78¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 75¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 5¢ | 10 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.