Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 18h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $82,750 or above

24h volume
210
210 lifetime
Open interest
210
+209 over 7d
Spread
1¢
846 × 6,040 at the touch
24h range
5¢ – 9¢
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
24h low 5¢24h high 9¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢volNov 4, 11:00 PMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1.2871¢
  • ask5049¢
  • ask15025¢
  • ask41212¢
  • ask5,0009¢
  • ask5,8388¢
  • ask6,8447¢
  • ask6,0406¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
  • bid8465¢
  • bid4,2554¢
  • bid9,6193¢
  • bid5,6522¢
  • bid1,1171¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 82749.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
82749.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T82749.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17m ago7¢1.28bought yes
2h ago8¢23bought yes
2h ago8¢10bought yes
2h ago8¢41bought yes
3h ago7¢14bought yes
3h ago7¢53bought yes
3h ago7¢3bought yes
5h ago7¢13bought yes
5h ago7¢11bought yes
5h ago9¢5bought no
5h ago9¢9bought yes
6h ago7¢2.95bought yes
6h ago6¢3.71bought yes
6h ago6¢0.1bought yes
6h ago6¢4bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.