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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $73,500 or above

24h volume
2,316
50.5k lifetime
Open interest
14.0k
+2,113 over 24h
Spread
2¢
1 × 0 at the touch
24h range
92¢ – 97¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%+14

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs 2¢

YES bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 2¢
24h low 92¢24h high 97¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
80¢85¢90¢95¢100¢volNov 4, 3:48 AMNov 5, 2:02 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
    spread–mid –
    • bid198¢
    • bid8,90097¢
    • bid4,42096¢
    • bid4,68095¢
    • bid2,28694¢
    • bid81393¢
    • bid7590¢
    • bid8580¢
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 73499.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
    floor
    73499.99
    ticker
    KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T73499.99
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2h ago97¢1bought no
    13h ago97¢603bought no
    14h ago97¢10bought yes
    16h ago97¢500bought no
    16h ago97¢500bought no
    16h ago97¢500bought no
    20h ago94¢0.58bought yes
    20h ago93¢0.21bought yes
    21h ago92¢100bought no
    21h ago92¢100bought no
    1d ago85¢1.16bought yes
    1d ago83¢199bought no
    1d ago83¢1bought no
    1d ago84¢0.78bought yes
    1d ago83¢100bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.