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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $74,000 or above

24h volume
5,593
65.3k lifetime
Open interest
23.3k
+3,368 over 24h
Spread
2¢
8,906 × 1 at the touch
24h range
85¢ – 97¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%+15

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs 3¢

YES bid / ask
97¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 3¢
24h low 85¢24h high 97¢
Recent buying25% YES · 75% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
80¢90¢100¢volNov 4, 4:32 AMNov 5, 4:19 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask199¢
spread2¢mid 98¢
  • bid8,90697¢
  • bid4,42196¢
  • bid4,68095¢
  • bid2,39994¢
  • bid84093¢
  • bid7990¢
  • bid8980¢
  • bid10270¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 73999.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
73999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T73999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 25% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago97¢1bought no
6h ago97¢915bought no
6h ago97¢1bought no
10h ago97¢1bought no
10h ago97¢467bought no
14h ago97¢47bought yes
14h ago96¢200bought no
14h ago96¢501bought no
14h ago97¢1bought yes
16h ago94¢4bought no
16h ago93¢669bought no
16h ago93¢2bought no
17h ago96¢47bought no
17h ago96¢500bought no
17h ago96¢500bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.