Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $74,500 or above

24h volume
1,697
53.6k lifetime
Open interest
11.3k
+10.1k over 90d
Spread
2¢
8,899 × 1 at the touch
24h range
75¢ – 97¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%+22

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs 3¢

YES bid / ask
97¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 3¢
24h low 75¢24h high 97¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

70¢80¢90¢volOct 31Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask199¢
spread2¢mid 98¢
  • bid8,89997¢
  • bid4,42196¢
  • bid3,38295¢
  • bid2,00494¢
  • bid81493¢
  • bid7790¢
  • bid184¢
  • bid8580¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 74499.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
74499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T74499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
21m ago97¢1bought no
21m ago97¢1.31bought no
2h ago97¢1bought no
2h ago97¢1bought no
3h ago96¢0.13bought no
3h ago97¢1bought no
13h ago95¢129bought no
14h ago93¢10bought yes
17h ago94¢50bought no
18h ago93¢500bought no
18h ago93¢500bought no
18h ago93¢200bought no
18h ago93¢290bought no
18h ago93¢10bought no
20h ago90¢0.24bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.