Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $75,500 or above

24h volume
1,989
57.6k lifetime
Open interest
24.1k
Spread
2¢
9,400 × 9,394 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%+35

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 3¢

YES bid / ask
97¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 3¢
Recent buying47% YES · 53% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 75499.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
75499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T75499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 47% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18m ago99¢30bought yes
18m ago99¢1bought yes
3h ago98¢4bought no
3h ago99¢5.04bought yes
4h ago98¢5.76bought yes
4h ago98¢1bought yes
5h ago96¢59bought no
6h ago96¢179bought yes
6h ago96¢6bought yes
6h ago96¢54bought yes
6h ago96¢427bought yes
8h ago95¢10bought no
8h ago94¢89bought no
8h ago95¢2bought no
9h ago95¢217bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.