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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $76,500 or above

24h volume
60.7k
185.9k lifetime
Open interest
47.2k
+7,338 over 90d
Spread
1¢
4,402 × 254 at the touch
24h range
49¢ – 96¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
95%+45

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
5%

costs 5¢

YES bid / ask
95¢ / 96¢
NO bid / ask
4¢ / 5¢
24h low 49¢24h high 96¢
Recent buying9% YES · 91% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢volOct 31Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,79599¢
  • ask10.4k98¢
  • ask7,44597¢
  • ask25496¢
spread1¢mid 96¢
  • bid4,40295¢
  • bid17.9k94¢
  • bid4,85493¢
  • bid2191¢
  • bid2575¢
  • bid165¢
  • bid12755¢
  • bid5054¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 76499.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
76499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T76499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
21m ago95¢10bought no
25m ago95¢6bought no
25m ago95¢20bought no
3h ago95¢1.32bought no
3h ago95¢92bought no
3h ago95¢8bought no
3h ago95¢200bought no
3h ago95¢37bought no
3h ago95¢22bought no
3h ago96¢5bought yes
3h ago95¢17bought no
3h ago95¢54bought no
3h ago95¢4bought no
3h ago96¢10bought yes
4h ago95¢3.14bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.