Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $77,000 or above

24h volume
29.1k
138.8k lifetime
Open interest
32.6k
+32.2k over 90d
Spread
1¢
6,704 × 10.3k at the touch
24h range
48¢ – 95¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
93%+44

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
7%

costs 7¢

YES bid / ask
93¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 7¢
24h low 48¢24h high 95¢
Recent buying22% YES · 78% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

50¢60¢70¢volOct 31Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,54399¢
  • ask198¢
  • ask30097¢
  • ask4,60696¢
  • ask13.8k95¢
  • ask10.3k94¢
spread1¢mid 94¢
  • bid6,70493¢
  • bid14.2k92¢
  • bid9,52091¢
  • bid185¢
  • bid15075¢
  • bid15352¢
  • bid10051¢
  • bid5048¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 76999.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
76999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T76999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 22% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
33m ago94¢96bought no
33m ago93¢404bought no
41m ago94¢62bought no
42m ago94¢6bought no
42m ago94¢18bought no
46m ago94¢100bought no
53m ago94¢16bought no
1h ago94¢0.03bought no
2h ago94¢9.13bought no
3h ago92¢38bought no
3h ago93¢1,251bought no
3h ago93¢200bought no
3h ago93¢226bought no
4h ago95¢2.6bought yes
4h ago94¢0.41bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.