Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $77,500 or above

24h volume
17.2k
123.5k lifetime
Open interest
29.3k
Spread
1¢
6,662 × 8,779 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
92%+59

A YES contract costs 92¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
8%

costs 9¢

YES bid / ask
91¢ / 92¢
NO bid / ask
8¢ / 9¢
Recent buying7% YES · 93% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 77499.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
77499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T77499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 7% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago92¢20bought no
2h ago91¢96bought no
2h ago92¢0.82bought no
2h ago92¢91bought no
2h ago91¢348bought no
2h ago91¢101bought no
2h ago92¢1.3bought no
2h ago92¢37bought yes
2h ago90¢27bought no
3h ago90¢3.72bought no
3h ago92¢25bought no
3h ago92¢11bought no
3h ago91¢21bought no
4h ago92¢57bought yes
4h ago91¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.