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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $79,500 or above

24h volume
24.2k
40.9k lifetime
Open interest
13.7k
Spread
1¢
9,739 × 2,166 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
71%+57

A YES contract costs 67¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
29%

costs 34¢

YES bid / ask
66¢ / 67¢
NO bid / ask
33¢ / 34¢
Recent buying48% YES · 52% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask184¢
  • ask15081¢
  • ask1275¢
  • ask43771¢
  • ask5,00070¢
  • ask4,76469¢
  • ask17.3k68¢
  • ask2,16667¢
spread1¢mid 67¢
  • bid9,73966¢
  • bid6,95965¢
  • bid5,02564¢
  • bid7,00063¢
  • bid1,60060¢
  • bid15159¢
  • bid157¢
  • bid4042¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 79499.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
79499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T79499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 48% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
25m ago71¢100bought no
29m ago71¢14bought no
34m ago71¢17bought no
37m ago70¢17bought no
37m ago70¢17bought no
57m ago70¢1,102bought yes
57m ago70¢17bought yes
1h ago69¢1bought no
1h ago70¢1bought yes
2h ago71¢1.67bought no
2h ago72¢36bought no
2h ago70¢281bought no
2h ago71¢786bought no
2h ago71¢131bought no
2h ago71¢684bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.