Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $80,000 or above

24h volume
47.9k
73.7k lifetime
Open interest
15.9k
+339 over 24h
Spread
1¢
12.5k × 6,884 at the touch
24h range
11¢ – 65¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
62%+52

A YES contract costs 61¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
38%

costs 40¢

YES bid / ask
60¢ / 61¢
NO bid / ask
39¢ / 40¢
24h low 11¢24h high 65¢
Recent buying25% YES · 75% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢volNov 4, 3:51 AMNov 5, 3:50 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10.0k92¢
  • ask5789¢
  • ask380¢
  • ask89475¢
  • ask15072¢
  • ask4,13463¢
  • ask9,64462¢
  • ask6,88461¢
spread1¢mid 61¢
  • bid12.5k60¢
  • bid4,75259¢
  • bid5,29058¢
  • bid0.0156¢
  • bid15055¢
  • bid147¢
  • bid543¢
  • bid4036¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 79999.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
79999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T79999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 25% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago62¢78bought yes
5m ago62¢18bought no
11m ago62¢16bought no
12m ago63¢21bought no
15m ago64¢15bought yes
15m ago64¢6bought yes
18m ago63¢15bought yes
18m ago63¢7.73bought yes
19m ago62¢25bought no
25m ago63¢0.15bought yes
42m ago60¢403bought no
44m ago59¢1,649bought no
45m ago60¢231bought yes
45m ago60¢172bought yes
48m ago60¢0.72bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.