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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $82,000 or above

24h volume
26.7k
48.1k lifetime
Open interest
28.3k
Spread
1¢
5,804 × 1,083 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
23%+19

A YES contract costs 22¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
77%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 22¢
NO bid / ask
78¢ / 79¢
Recent buying31% YES · 69% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask140¢
  • ask137¢
  • ask15036¢
  • ask1,16526¢
  • ask4,68025¢
  • ask4,48324¢
  • ask18.7k23¢
  • ask1,08322¢
spread1¢mid 21¢
  • bid5,80421¢
  • bid10.5k20¢
  • bid12.3k19¢
  • bid117¢
  • bid2013¢
  • bid1508¢
  • bid576¢
  • bid205¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 81999.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
81999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T81999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 31% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9m ago23¢4bought yes
10m ago22¢40bought yes
52m ago25¢12bought no
2h ago27¢40bought no
3h ago25¢48bought no
3h ago25¢40bought yes
3h ago24¢184bought yes
3h ago23¢2bought yes
3h ago24¢5bought yes
4h ago25¢25bought no
4h ago27¢352bought yes
4h ago26¢37bought no
4h ago24¢19bought no
5h ago24¢0.07bought yes
5h ago24¢0.15bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.