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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $84,000 or above

24h volume
15.6k
24.8k lifetime
Open interest
16.7k
+8,433 over 24h
Spread
2¢
10.2k × 11.5k at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 12¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%+1

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 95¢
24h low 2¢24h high 12¢
Recent buying73% YES · 27% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volNov 4, 4:55 AMNov 5, 4:35 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask17143¢
  • ask140¢
  • ask7733¢
  • ask15025¢
  • ask3115¢
  • ask4,6909¢
  • ask8,9018¢
  • ask11.5k7¢
spread2¢mid 6¢
  • bid10.2k5¢
  • bid11.4k4¢
  • bid4,6803¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 83999.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
83999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T83999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 73% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6m ago5¢268bought no
26m ago6¢31bought yes
2h ago8¢38bought yes
3h ago7¢2bought yes
3h ago7¢4.5bought yes
3h ago7¢89bought yes
3h ago7¢200bought yes
3h ago7¢60bought yes
3h ago7¢411bought yes
4h ago7¢368bought no
4h ago7¢150bought no
4h ago7¢15bought no
4h ago7¢138bought no
4h ago7¢50bought no
4h ago8¢23bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.