Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $84,500 or above

24h volume
3,603
9,475 lifetime
Open interest
5,954
+5,954 over 7d
Spread
1¢
9,329 × 4,448 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 11¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%+2

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 96¢
24h low 2¢24h high 11¢
Recent buying76% YES · 24% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volOct 30Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4768¢
  • ask9347¢
  • ask140¢
  • ask15025¢
  • ask218¢
  • ask3,9317¢
  • ask8,9316¢
  • ask4,4485¢
spread1¢mid 5¢
  • bid9,3294¢
  • bid5,2933¢
  • bid4,6922¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 84499.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
84499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T84499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 76% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
48m ago5¢10bought yes
2h ago5¢105bought yes
2h ago5¢26bought yes
3h ago6¢49bought yes
3h ago6¢92bought yes
3h ago6¢1bought yes
3h ago6¢9.64bought yes
3h ago6¢92bought yes
3h ago6¢40bought yes
3h ago5¢12bought yes
3h ago5¢48bought yes
4h ago6¢0.24bought yes
4h ago6¢1.63bought yes
4h ago6¢12bought yes
5h ago7¢33bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.