Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $86,500 or above

24h volume
150
7,246 lifetime
Open interest
7,242
+142 over 90d
Spread
2¢
18 × 8,815 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 5¢
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 5¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volOct 31Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7069¢
  • ask40850¢
  • ask29130¢
  • ask25520¢
  • ask22610¢
  • ask4,6805¢
  • ask4,4204¢
  • ask8,8153¢
spread2¢mid 2¢
  • bid181¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 86499.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
86499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T86499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
54m ago3¢86bought yes
5h ago3¢65bought yes
2d ago3¢48bought yes
3d ago5¢94bought yes
3d ago1¢1.87bought no
5d ago5¢1.87bought yes
5d ago4¢1,950bought yes
5d ago4¢5,000bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.