Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 19h

Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?

YES means $78,000 or above

24h volume
413
413 lifetime
Open interest
392
+392 over 24h
Spread
2,402 × 2,553 at the touch
24h range
94¢ – 97¢
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs

YES bid / ask
96¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
/
24h low 94¢24h high 97¢
Recent buying14% YES · 86% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 20, 9:02 PMSep 21, 2:28 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7,56099¢
  • ask2,55398¢
spreadmid 97¢
  • bid2,40296¢
  • bid8,94095¢
  • bid2,56094¢
  • bid587¢
  • bid5859¢
  • bid17258¢
  • bid32757¢
  • bid1,74456¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 77999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
77999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2117-T77999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 14% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
37m ago97¢5bought no
1h ago97¢62bought no
2h ago96¢1bought no
2h ago97¢5bought yes
2h ago96¢47bought no
2h ago96¢47bought no
3h ago97¢5bought yes
3h ago95¢37bought no
4h ago96¢5bought yes
5h ago95¢15bought yes
5h ago95¢8bought yes
5h ago94¢19bought no
5h ago94¢0.62bought no
5h ago94¢2.62bought no
5h ago94¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.