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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 17h

Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?

YES means $78,500 or above

24h volume
5,197
5,197 lifetime
Open interest
1,700
+1,708 over 7d
Spread
1¢
102 × 31 at the touch
24h range
91¢ – 97¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
96%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
4%

costs 4¢

YES bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
24h low 91¢24h high 97¢
Recent buying58% YES · 42% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 20, 10:00 PMSep 21, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 78499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
78499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2117-T78499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 58% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22m ago96¢2bought no
22m ago96¢2bought no
22m ago96¢2bought no
22m ago96¢2bought no
2h ago93¢89bought yes
2h ago93¢174bought yes
2h ago93¢10bought yes
2h ago93¢10bought yes
2h ago93¢10bought yes
2h ago93¢10bought yes
2h ago93¢10bought yes
2h ago93¢10bought yes
2h ago93¢10bought yes
2h ago93¢10bought yes
2h ago93¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.