Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 17h

Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?

YES means $79,750 or above

24h volume
22.3k
22.3k lifetime
Open interest
14.7k
+14.6k over 7d
Spread
200 × 2,906 at the touch
24h range
70¢ – 89¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
84%

A YES contract costs 88¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
16%

costs 13¢

YES bid / ask
87¢ / 88¢
NO bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
24h low 70¢24h high 89¢
Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢volSep 20, 9:00 PMSep 21, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50995¢
  • ask30094¢
  • ask30093¢
  • ask30092¢
  • ask78091¢
  • ask7,97390¢
  • ask3,74889¢
  • ask2,90688¢
spreadmid 88¢
  • bid20087¢
  • bid76286¢
  • bid1,51485¢
  • bid7,33184¢
  • bid2,86083¢
  • bid30082¢
  • bid70081¢
  • bid30080¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 79749.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
79749.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2117-T79749.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
53m ago84¢12bought no
58m ago87¢100bought yes
58m ago87¢3.9bought yes
58m ago87¢10bought yes
1h ago86¢24bought yes
2h ago83¢5bought yes
2h ago78¢1bought yes
2h ago80¢15bought yes
2h ago80¢5bought yes
2h ago77¢2,000bought yes
2h ago78¢827bought yes
2h ago77¢200bought yes
2h ago78¢199bought yes
2h ago78¢1bought yes
2h ago83¢16bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.