galdor.xyz
Admin
Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 19h

Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?

YES means $81,250 or above

24h volume
34.7k
36.7k lifetime
Open interest
9,403
Spread
2¢
416 × 2,637 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
57%

A YES contract costs 57¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
43%

costs 45¢

YES bid / ask
55¢ / 57¢
NO bid / ask
43¢ / 45¢
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask30064¢
  • ask30063¢
  • ask30062¢
  • ask30061¢
  • ask30060¢
  • ask3,39759¢
  • ask9,95758¢
  • ask2,63757¢
spread2¢mid 56¢
  • bid41655¢
  • bid4,77454¢
  • bid2,70653¢
  • bid8,30052¢
  • bid30051¢
  • bid30050¢
  • bid30049¢
  • bid30048¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 81249.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
81249.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2117-T81249.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
50s ago56¢2bought yes
50s ago56¢10bought yes
50s ago56¢8bought yes
50s ago57¢48bought yes
1m ago55¢43bought no
3m ago56¢4.79bought yes
4m ago56¢762bought yes
4m ago56¢218bought yes
4m ago56¢200bought yes
4m ago56¢662bought yes
8m ago53¢4.84bought yes
12m ago52¢124bought yes
12m ago53¢98bought yes
13m ago51¢10bought no
13m ago51¢370bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.