Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 16h

Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?

YES means $81,500 or above

24h volume
34.3k
35.3k lifetime
Open interest
16.6k
+14.5k over 7d
Spread
3,203 × 2,603 at the touch
24h range
28¢ – 61¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
48%

A YES contract costs 50¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
52%

costs 52¢

YES bid / ask
48¢ / 50¢
NO bid / ask
50¢ / 52¢
24h low 28¢24h high 61¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

30¢40¢50¢volSep 20, 10:00 PMSep 21, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 81499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
81499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2117-T81499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2s ago48¢10bought no
2s ago48¢200bought no
2s ago48¢771bought no
2m ago48¢100bought yes
4m ago47¢397bought yes
4m ago47¢584bought yes
4m ago46¢0.2bought yes
11m ago46¢104bought yes
31m ago44¢34bought yes
34m ago43¢255bought no
34m ago43¢0.1bought no
36m ago44¢3.08bought yes
41m ago44¢43bought no
42m ago45¢1.62bought yes
45m ago44¢51bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.