Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 16h

Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?

YES means $83,500 or above

24h volume
5,890
5,890 lifetime
Open interest
5,154
+5,154 over 24h
Spread
7,819 × 67 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 17¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 94¢
24h low 24h high 17¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 20, 9:26 PMSep 21, 5:25 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10015¢
  • ask10014¢
  • ask10013¢
  • ask5,50512¢
  • ask3,01510¢
  • ask3,015
  • ask2,558
  • ask54
spreadmid
  • bid7,819
  • bid3,459
  • bid3,504
  • bid100
  • bid155
  • bid748
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 83499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
83499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2117-T83499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23m ago5.04bought yes
23m ago20bought yes
23m ago1bought yes
35m ago53bought yes
36m ago23bought yes
36m ago195bought yes
36m ago5bought yes
58m ago2bought yes
1h ago50bought yes
3h ago200bought yes
3h ago25bought no
3h ago10bought no
3h ago52bought no
3h ago87bought yes
4h ago10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.