Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $78,000 or above

24h volume
23.0k
35.1k lifetime
Open interest
22.5k
+22.5k over 7d
Spread
107 × 4,935 at the touch
24h range
75¢ – 88¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
86%+2

A YES contract costs 86¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
14%

costs 15¢

YES bid / ask
85¢ / 86¢
NO bid / ask
14¢ / 15¢
24h low 75¢24h high 88¢
Recent buying9% YES · 91% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

70¢80¢90¢volSep 18, 9:00 PMSep 21, 1:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask41095¢
  • ask33394¢
  • ask28593¢
  • ask1391¢
  • ask20090¢
  • ask2,62988¢
  • ask3,01487¢
  • ask4,93586¢
spreadmid 86¢
  • bid4,53085¢
  • bid2,68584¢
  • bid7,75083¢
  • bid10079¢
  • bid373¢
  • bid33758¢
  • bid1050¢
  • bid1,16746¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 77999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
77999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T77999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6m ago86¢14bought yes
6m ago86¢10bought yes
7m ago87¢492bought yes
7m ago87¢8bought yes
39m ago86¢12bought no
54m ago85¢315bought no
1h ago83¢278bought no
1h ago83¢556bought no
2h ago83¢5.94bought no
3h ago81¢48bought no
4h ago82¢5.94bought yes
4h ago83¢10bought no
4h ago83¢2bought no
4h ago82¢229bought no
7h ago85¢25bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.