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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $78,000 or above

24h volume
22.9k
35.2k lifetime
Open interest
22.6k
Spread
3¢
2,325 × 2,314 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
81%

A YES contract costs 85¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
19%

costs 18¢

YES bid / ask
82¢ / 85¢
NO bid / ask
15¢ / 18¢
Recent buying9% YES · 91% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20792¢
  • ask20090¢
  • ask589¢
  • ask20088¢
  • ask8087¢
  • ask8,00086¢
  • ask2,28885¢
  • ask4,94784¢
spread2¢mid 83¢
  • bid4,95882¢
  • bid7,79781¢
  • bid3,32780¢
  • bid179¢
  • bid373¢
  • bid33758¢
  • bid40053¢
  • bid1050¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 77999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
77999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T77999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
34m ago81¢0.49bought no
34m ago81¢2bought no
59m ago84¢73bought no
2h ago86¢14bought yes
2h ago86¢10bought yes
2h ago87¢492bought yes
2h ago87¢8bought yes
2h ago86¢12bought no
2h ago85¢315bought no
3h ago83¢278bought no
3h ago83¢556bought no
3h ago83¢5.94bought no
5h ago81¢48bought no
5h ago82¢5.94bought yes
5h ago83¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.