Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $81,000 or above

24h volume
32.0k
52.3k lifetime
Open interest
11.5k
+7,609 over 7d
Spread
3,721 × 5,495 at the touch
24h range
39¢ – 59¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
55%+3

A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
45%

costs 44¢

YES bid / ask
56¢ / 58¢
NO bid / ask
42¢ / 44¢
24h low 39¢24h high 59¢
Recent buying9% YES · 91% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

40¢50¢60¢volSep 18, 9:00 PMSep 21, 1:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,14281¢
  • ask20380¢
  • ask2875¢
  • ask164¢
  • ask163¢
  • ask8,31660¢
  • ask3,28959¢
  • ask5,49558¢
spreadmid 57¢
  • bid4,82356¢
  • bid8,00955¢
  • bid2,36954¢
  • bid40053¢
  • bid150¢
  • bid1548¢
  • bid245¢
  • bid1043¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 80999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
80999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T80999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago55¢0.19bought no
7m ago57¢8bought yes
7m ago57¢1bought yes
7m ago57¢10bought yes
8m ago55¢2.13bought no
8m ago56¢96bought no
22m ago57¢3.4bought yes
22m ago55¢788bought no
22m ago55¢100bought no
22m ago55¢1,102bought no
22m ago55¢10bought no
23m ago56¢2bought yes
26m ago58¢83bought yes
28m ago57¢100bought no
40m ago58¢8.23bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.