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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $81,500 or above

24h volume
24.6k
57.3k lifetime
Open interest
26.0k
Spread
2¢
4,314 × 3,083 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
48%+6

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
52%

costs 53¢

YES bid / ask
47¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 53¢
Recent buying39% YES · 61% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20058¢
  • ask157¢
  • ask555¢
  • ask153¢
  • ask5,00052¢
  • ask3,46351¢
  • ask5,01450¢
  • ask3,08349¢
spread2¢mid 48¢
  • bid4,31447¢
  • bid7,50046¢
  • bid2,97645¢
  • bid50543¢
  • bid141¢
  • bid8,23939¢
  • bid1825¢
  • bid4,44122¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 81499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
81499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T81499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 39% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7m ago48¢2.01bought yes
10m ago47¢337bought no
10m ago50¢9.19bought no
19m ago52¢2bought no
37m ago50¢0.81bought no
37m ago51¢0.81bought yes
40m ago51¢0.18bought yes
1h ago50¢3.86bought yes
1h ago51¢2.74bought no
1h ago53¢2.74bought yes
1h ago52¢104bought no
1h ago51¢633bought no
1h ago51¢472bought no
1h ago51¢1,102bought no
1h ago51¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.