Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $81,500 or above

24h volume
28.6k
61.4k lifetime
Open interest
25.1k
+14.0k over 90d
Spread
1,102 × 110 at the touch
24h range
34¢ – 53¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
48%+4

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
52%

costs 52¢

YES bid / ask
48¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 52¢
24h low 34¢24h high 53¢
Recent buying63% YES · 37% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

30¢35¢40¢45¢50¢volSep 19, 4:00 AMSep 20, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask156¢
  • ask1455¢
  • ask154¢
  • ask48053¢
  • ask5,00052¢
  • ask3,33251¢
  • ask5,03750¢
  • ask2,57949¢
spreadmid 48¢
  • bid4,98747¢
  • bid7,83646¢
  • bid3,70445¢
  • bid48544¢
  • bid50043¢
  • bid142¢
  • bid140¢
  • bid1825¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 81499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
81499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T81499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 63% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13m ago48¢100bought yes
13m ago48¢2,000bought yes
13m ago48¢922bought yes
13m ago48¢500bought yes
13m ago48¢460bought yes
13m ago48¢10bought yes
13m ago48¢10bought yes
15m ago48¢50bought yes
26m ago44¢3.37bought yes
26m ago44¢1bought yes
50m ago48¢2.01bought yes
54m ago47¢337bought no
54m ago50¢9.19bought no
1h ago52¢2bought no
1h ago50¢0.81bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.