Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $82,500 or above

24h volume
11.2k
24.0k lifetime
Open interest
16.9k
Spread
3,741 × 5,231 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
43%+9

A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
57%

costs 64¢

YES bid / ask
36¢ / 38¢
NO bid / ask
62¢ / 64¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 82499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
82499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T82499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18m ago43¢1,959bought yes
18m ago43¢336bought yes
18m ago42¢1bought yes
18m ago43¢2,000bought yes
18m ago42¢100bought yes
26m ago41¢85bought yes
42m ago38¢1bought yes
42m ago38¢1bought yes
43m ago39¢1bought yes
43m ago39¢43bought yes
50m ago39¢10bought yes
50m ago39¢118bought yes
51m ago39¢5bought yes
51m ago39¢10bought yes
1h ago39¢44bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.