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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $85,000 or above

24h volume
13.5k
22.2k lifetime
Open interest
10.0k
Spread
1¢
4,879 × 4,586 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%+4

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 84¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,74465¢
  • ask1,52663¢
  • ask2,57162¢
  • ask11022¢
  • ask5,00021¢
  • ask3,29119¢
  • ask2,62518¢
  • ask4,49717¢
spread1¢mid 17¢
  • bid4,87916¢
  • bid7,56515¢
  • bid3,32014¢
  • bid19¢
  • bid2857¢
  • bid3916¢
  • bid5895¢
  • bid24.9k4¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 84999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
84999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T84999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5m ago17¢19bought yes
31m ago16¢1,990bought no
31m ago16¢10bought no
37m ago17¢21bought yes
38m ago18¢126bought yes
51m ago17¢10bought yes
55m ago15¢480bought yes
55m ago15¢420bought yes
55m ago15¢100bought yes
59m ago16¢1,000bought yes
60m ago15¢1,000bought yes
1h ago15¢4.15bought yes
1h ago14¢128bought yes
4h ago11¢16bought yes
4h ago12¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.