Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $86,000 or above

24h volume
4,428
10.5k lifetime
Open interest
7,398
+7,398 over 7d
Spread
9,972 × 4,439 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 12¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%+3

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 90¢
24h low 24h high 12¢
Recent buying63% YES · 37% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 18, 10:00 PMSep 21, 1:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,50561¢
  • ask80055¢
  • ask52554¢
  • ask5,00016¢
  • ask2315¢
  • ask3,11414¢
  • ask2,52113¢
  • ask4,43912¢
spreadmid 12¢
  • bid4,30411¢
  • bid7,66810¢
  • bid2,829
  • bid472
  • bid368
  • bid1,930
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 85999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
85999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T85999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 63% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
35m ago12¢10bought yes
56m ago10¢436bought yes
2h ago7bought yes
2h ago33bought yes
3h ago100bought yes
4h ago1,000bought no
4h ago200bought no
8h ago122bought yes
8h ago78bought yes
8h ago0.44bought no
11h ago137bought yes
11h ago137bought yes
16h ago250bought no
21h ago300bought yes
21h ago900bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.