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When will bitcoin hit 150k?·closed · NO

Will Bitcoin be above $149999.99 by Aug 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET?

YES means Before September 2026

24h volume
0
1.02M lifetime
Open interest
503.0k
+34.1k over 30d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 1

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of Bitcoin is above || Count || by || Date || at || Time ||, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Contract is settled by taking an average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. Data is used 24/7 to resolve the contract.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 4 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
149999.99
ticker
KXBTCMAX150-25-26AUG31-149999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20d ago1¢48bought yes
20d ago1¢48bought yes
20d ago1¢97bought yes
21d ago1¢94bought yes
21d ago1¢94bought yes
21d ago1¢31bought yes
21d ago1¢1,777bought yes
21d ago1¢5.61bought yes
21d ago1¢655bought yes
21d ago1¢225bought yes
21d ago1¢468bought yes
21d ago1¢1bought yes
22d ago1¢9.35bought yes
22d ago1¢267bought yes
22d ago1¢94bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.